01/01/2025
I thought Iâd share some thoughts on the upcoming pattern change. Iâve been out of town over the last week, and it appears the snow hype and panic are alive and well across NC. This morning, I went through some messages and saw folks asking me if weâre getting a major polar vortex next week. Wow. First, let me say: âtis the season for people to post fantasy model runs to generate likes and clicks.
Snow?
Over the last few days, Iâve received well over 200 messages about snow. At this time, I am not forecasting snow for NC over the next 5â7 days. Many of my long-time followers know that I donât hype anythingâI tell it like it is, without fluff.
Iâm sure many of you have seen the wild posts and forecasters hyping up the pattern over the next two weeks. Iâm not buying into the snow chances at this point. I do, however, believe the pattern will turn much colder starting this weekend, lasting into next week, and potentially extending further.
How cold it will get remains uncertain, but the Climate Prediction Center is forecasting an 80%+ chance of below-average temperatures over the next 14 days starting Saturday (map below is the outlook cold in the Central/Eastern part of the Country warm in the west) . This could bring highs in the 40s and 30s across most of NC, with some days possibly even cooler. We could also see several days with lows below freezing.
As for the rumors about single-digit temperaturesâlet me stop you there. Itâs far too early to speculate on how cold it might get.
The Bottom Line
I think thereâs a good chance it will turn colder starting this weekend, but remember, in NC, itâs difficult to get snow. It could just turn colder and stay dry. Iâll continue monitoring the forecast and provide updates as needed.
For now, I am not forecasting snow for the next 5â7 days, and beyond that, itâs too soon to speculate. Donât fall for random posts of snow maps showing predictions two weeks out. I mean letâs be clear we can barely get the forecast right sometimes 3 days from now đ
-Ethan