09/25/2024
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/fj5tk719v3cx8kYs/?mibextid=CTbP7E
UPDATE: I want to continue to reaffirm to Southwest Florida that this will not be our landfall storm, the center and worst part will stay offshore. This will not pull a Hurricane Ian. If I even had a shred of doubt, I wouldn't make that statement. I've been tracking hurricanes almost my entire life, you're in good hands and I value your trust. I never take it for granted. Over the past 24 hours, models have only been making small adjustments and have been in good agreement overall...unlike Ian. The most recent run is actually slightly *west* for the eventual landfall (pink line). More small adjustments west or east remain possible. This is a consensus model, often better performing with a great track record and heavily used by the NHC.
IMPORTANT: Remember that this will be a large storm and I still do expect several impacts in Southwest Florida well outside of the cone, especially 3 - 5 feet of surge leading to coastal flooding. Make sure to not get caught off guard by that. Bands of rain, wind and a tornado threat too. In this image is both the tropical storm (yellow) and hurricane (red) wind field.
I'll be with you ahead to help guide you through it all 24/7 without the hype and just the facts. Thanks everyone.
- Matt Devitt WINK Weather
