08/25/2024
I’ve done my best to go and personally look at things the media portray as the next (or still) big crisis.
The Great Barrier reef looked good when I dove there, as did the reefs around Figi. Polar bears were healthy, fat and happy in late summer when they should’ve been at their poorest condition.
Believe me when I say the media only shares what they think will scare you.
Great Barrier Reef never better
Annual measurements since 1986 show their highest point for 2024
But you won't know because
1) The measuring institute stopped publishing a reef-wide index when things got too good. Instead, their 2024 report, published this week, mostly talk up all the potential problems. Graphic here is best reef-wide estimate given their own data
2) News outlets instead look for a new scare story, which they also found this week when studies show that reef-wide temperatures highest in 400 years, with widespread bleaching
So, they tell us next year, data will look much worse
But remember, there have been five reef-wide bleaching events in the past eight years: 2016, 2017, 2020, 2022 and 2024, yet the outcome of the first four is that the reef now has more coral cover than ever.
Yes, Jan-March temperatures in 2024 are marginally higher (0.06°C higher than the previous max temp in 2022), which two years later led to the highest coral cover ever.
Perhaps it is time we start asking for news that isn't always biased toward gloom
Data and more info: https://x.com/BjornLomborg/status/1809547890576036291 and https://x.com/BjornLomborg/status/1809610575602987236
Temperatures: https://nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07672-x, fig 1f
You can see all the references in my Twitter thread:
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1821893710197432617