Doubled D Charters

Doubled D Charters We do day charters sail and power boats in the BVI
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Good wet morning  Looks like a some more of the wet stuff today , drizzly with some heavier moments, weather man say sho...
06/06/2024

Good wet morning
Looks like a some more of the wet stuff today , drizzly with some heavier moments, weather man say should clear a bit this afternoon, he was right yesterday, and looks so today.
Tortola seemed to get way more rain than we did in Virgin Gorda, definitely a good time to pull weeds or dig holes that ground is sooooo soft.
Sounds like tomorrow the sun will be out to start to dry things up.
All this wet is going to really bring the mosquitoes out , be careful there is allot of dengue around different islands in the Caribbean, repellent might come in handy the next couple of months.
I live in the south valley VG we rarely hear tree frogs here, but that is starting to change , has been for awhile , but last night was the first time in over 30 years of being here that one hopped across the floor right in front of me , a bit shocked I was .

Not sure exactly where the rain went , there was a big area of rain just south east of us at the beginning of the evenin...
27/05/2024

Not sure exactly where the rain went , there was a big area of rain just south east of us at the beginning of the evening yesterday and it seems it has dissipated and blown out a and stayed mostly south of us, Purto Rico weather is still calling for some rain showers today as the trailing moisture behind the tropical wave that is passing south of PR now continues to pass us by, but it sure feels like it going to be a nice day today .
Dave

Good morning to all the poker run participants. Looks like a nice day for you all, fairly calm seas , and sun, just what...
26/05/2024

Good morning to all the poker run participants. Looks like a nice day for you all, fairly calm seas , and sun, just what all the power boaters look for.
but as we move into the evening a tropical wave that’s down around Guadeloupe at the moment will start to shed some rain , and seems it will do so for Monday night into Tuesday , and trailing through Thursday , not sure how much rain or how frequent , that always depends on where the brunt of the rain ends up and how long it takes to pass. So fingers crossed it’s a manageable amount of rain.
Dave

Good morning everyone As you have noticed the moisture increased overnight , and the sky’s are overcast, the sun should ...
22/05/2024

Good morning everyone
As you have noticed the moisture increased overnight , and the sky’s are overcast, the sun should be not bad this morning , with occasional scattered showers , but as we move into the afternoon, we should sea mor rain as move into the evening , and may get more intense over night, and this weather pattern is supposed to to last until Friday.
Wind is has picked up this morning , making a little cooler , the wind will knock off late this afternoon and be pretty normal till Friday when the wind will get light again, and the heat goes back up.
After Friday, we will be in a bit of a wet pattern with light showers mostly , early morning and evening .for awhile .
Dave

Good morning allHope you had a great weekend a little wet I know, this weather pattern is going to continue, and may get...
15/04/2024

Good morning all
Hope you had a great weekend a little wet I know, this weather pattern is going to continue, and may get a little worse Tuesday and Wednesday, you can see the radar shot the trough is just hanging North of us, I gather its supposed to drop a bit, and then we will have more moisture , but if it doesn’t then the weather may not be to bad.
Winds are going to become light so won’t help to push the moisture away.
And the wave chart is. Showing a pretty big swell arriving in 24hrs from the east and will muck up the waters around the islands may be a bit rough in the sir Francis drake channel starting tomorrow, and will last for a couple of days.
Should start to see some clearing as a drier air mass arrives Thursday . And the swell to settle down
Have a great day
Dave

Good evening Just a little update for the weekend , the wind and the rain pickup Tuesday and has progressed , to our win...
11/04/2024

Good evening
Just a little update for the weekend , the wind and the rain pickup Tuesday and has progressed , to our windiest weather we have had for awhile , it’s going to crank up some more tonight and all through Friday, in the 25knt range and probably a little more around the rain clouds, this high pressure will back off a bit saterday into Sunday , and will be up and down Monday to Wednesday, and it will be wet off and on Monday to Wednesday also, moisture will tapper off Thursday as another dry slot moves in and winds will be more seasonal.
And wind will knock off a bit Saturday 10 days from now.
Have a great weekend.
Dave

Good morning all So a busy busy March comes to an end has some great guest on board almost every day, one family I had o...
07/04/2024

Good morning all
So a busy busy March comes to an end has some great guest on board almost every day, one family I had out I brought to NEKER island to sea a turtle they had given NEKER island , we got to spend some time at NEKER to hang out with him , and then got a bonus, to also see the lemurs .
I was wearing very blue shoes , and the turtle seemed to think they looked like very big blueberries and proceeded to naw on shoe for a bit, was told he likes painted toes for the same reason.
The exceptional weather we have had all winter continues for the week end and into Monday.
Will be pretty hot the next couple of days, a cold front is approaching from the North and should descend into our region Tuesday, and some high pressure will bring our winds onto the islands from NE , wind speed is going to pick up into the 18-20knt range so also on Tuesday sea conditions are going to get a little rougher.
With the wind direction change and a cooler atmosphere we will probably see a bit of shower activity , and as we move into next week end winds may increase a little more , and the showers may become more frequent.
Hope everyone had a fantastic Easter
Dave

Good morning allWell we had lots of cloud cover last night just no rain, they got all the heavy stuff last night , a big...
26/03/2024

Good morning all
Well we had lots of cloud cover last night just no rain, they got all the heavy stuff last night , a big area in central PR was under flood watch from all the rain, sooooo looks like we keep this North wind for a bit, but it’s not very strong , winds are going to be from this direction till at least Saturday, with it being a west wind for Thursday afternoon, as you can see winds will be light well onto next week, with a bit of a bump Saturday when the winds shift back to the NE.
Should make for pleasant weather for this weekends Easter festivities
Dave

Looks like a fairly calm week this week, with some rain late today over night and into early Tuesday morning , not sure ...
25/03/2024

Looks like a fairly calm week this week, with some rain late today over night and into early Tuesday morning , not sure how much how long or particularly where just a damp evening .
Swell is going to pick up Tuesday night into Friday, from the NW and fairly long period swells, probably 3-5 feet depending on shore contour.
Will be a little breezier the following week but normal for this time of the year.
Have a great Easter week the weather looks good for it
Dave

It’s been awhile since I posted , our weather this year season has just been fantastic, minimal wind , very little moist...
22/03/2024

It’s been awhile since I posted , our weather this year season has just been fantastic, minimal wind , very little moisture , and unseasonably warm air and water, oh and lots and lots of sunshine , what little incremental weather we had lasted for very short periods of time and have been few.
It looks as though a little moisture is going to move in the beginning of next week , but don’t think it will be very much, maybe a few more heavy clouds because there will be very little wind through out the week, but the beginning of March say around the 2nd or so it’s showing that the wind is going to pick up to what would normally be in the winter.
It’s a long way off, but it looks like a bit of weather pattern change w week of so from now .
The pics are a busy day at W***y T
And a female humpback whale and her calf a couple of days ago just off the shore at Nanny Key.
Have a great rest of March
Dave

Good morning Looks like the weekend is going to be pleasant, all the way through, there will be a swell present through ...
01/02/2024

Good morning
Looks like the weekend is going to be pleasant, all the way through, there will be a swell present through the weekend so North shores are going to be pretty rough seems it will be in the 1.5-2 meter range.
There will be very light winds all weekend so great flat caulm boating south of Tortola but the swell will make it a little rough between Beef island and Virgin Gorda and of course the the swell will be very evident in the Atlantic waters, but no wind waves.
That’s all going to start to change Monday with a south south west component to the wind and speeds picking up to 15-20 knt, Tuesday will be the windiest with south winds at 20-25knts and will get a good dose of rain late Tuesday , wends day and into Thursday morning , things will get more back to normal Friday .
So enjoy the weekend weather .
Dave

Good morning all, hope you had a great weekend with this little lull in the sea conditions,  That’s going to end today, ...
22/01/2024

Good morning all, hope you had a great weekend with this little lull in the sea conditions,
That’s going to end today, winds are going to be back up by tonight, and looks to be a fair swell north west at about a meter and 1/2, looks like just tomorrow, and maybe some residual after, wind is going to be strong all the way to Saturday, and may have a bit of moisture end of the week.
Looks like after Saturday, the winds will die off again for a bit.
Still all in all pretty good weather this winter.
Have a great day

Good afternoon our wonderful placid Xmas and new year, and well into new year weather is going to start changing for a b...
14/01/2024

Good afternoon our wonderful placid Xmas and new year, and well into new year weather is going to start changing for a bit, winds are going to start picking up over night and get to our seasonal range around 20knts, Monday Tuesday, Tuesday being the windiest, will slacken a bit Wednesday, Thursday, then lighten up for the weekend to where they were this weekend , and then the following week pick up again on Monday to the 20knt range.
17-18-19-20 knots is pretty normal for the winter, but this Holliday season was the lightest winds I have ever seen.
The atmosphere will remain pretty steady don’t see much rain in the future, other than diurnal effects we get in the morning when it rains a bit from going cooler , to a warmer day.
And the inverse happens at night going from the warmer day to the cooler night . Also pretty normal in the winter time .
Hope everyone had a great weekend
Dave

Good morning to all.Hope you are have a great beginning of the new year, we have had the most incredible weather all thr...
07/01/2024

Good morning to all.
Hope you are have a great beginning of the new year, we have had the most incredible weather all through Christmas and new year , and it’s still continuing.
It has been mostly flat calm, and sunny for weeks now, and looks to continue for a bit longer.
Winds have picked up a bit but still not extremely windy , Wednesday will we a bump in to the normal wind range for this time of the year 15-17knt , there are a couple of days where the wind creeps up to 20 ish
On the 15th looks like a pretty strong swell for the day but that may change by then, and on the 16th we get a pretty strong bit of wind , but that may also tone down I bit by time we get there.
In the second wind chart it takes us all the way over to 21st January and is again really tame winds , so looks to be pretty great weather for the next couple of weeks.
Also some pics of how calm the seas have been just about everywhere , over the holidays.
There is still weather raging up in the north Atlantic, so we will probably have this mild swell off and on through the next couple of weeks with the 15th having a pretty strong swell.
Enjoy this new year gift of weather.
Dave

Good morning allHere we are a couple of days from Xmas, want to say thank you to everyone who wishes me a happy birthday...
22/12/2023

Good morning all
Here we are a couple of days from Xmas, want to say thank you to everyone who wishes me a happy birthday day a couple of weeks ago,
Thought I would post a nice Xmas and new year weather present .
Looks like we are going to have a pretty mild and sunny next couple of weeks, with almost no wind, and very little rain , from now to at least the 5th of January, probably have a bit of rain maybe the early mornings with the cooler air at night, and then the warmer morning air hits as the sun comes up.
We seem to be in the same sweat spot that was evident during the hurricane season , all the crazy weather the east cost is having keeps us in this region with the calm weather.
All the strong weather up north looks to give us a mild ground sea less than one meter, off and on through the next couple of weeks.
Mostly from the north, sometimes from the NW.
Sooo for us in the BVI enjoy this unexpected fantastic holliday weather.
First chart covers to the end of the year.
Second chart covers to about the 5th of January from the 1st of January.
Hope every one enjoys the Hollidays
Dave

Marvelous
30/11/2023

Marvelous

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12/11/2023

1?

Gooood afternoon, out for a day on the water hanging at the Indians, before we have a little fun at W***y T. Been not to...
10/11/2023

Gooood afternoon, out for a day on the water hanging at the Indians, before we have a little fun at W***y T.
Been not to sunny the last three days but have managed to dodge what little rain we have had.
Wind picked up a bit today, and will be with us for the week end, then should start to dry out late tomorrow, the beginning of next week sees us with lighter winds in the 13-15 knt range through Wednesday, Thursday winds pick up again, with another weather system moving through next weekend with some very strong winds from the south, if the forecasts stays consistent.
Have a great weekend
Dave

Good morning Should be SE winds today, fairly light as we go into the day, 96L is still moving away NE today and for the...
29/10/2023

Good morning
Should be SE winds today, fairly light as we go into the day, 96L is still moving away NE today and for the next couple of days will drag moisture across our area, so expect cloud cover with sunny patches, and rain occasionally for a couple more days .
By Wednesday afternoon, winds should shift and come from the east with a sting bump in wind on Friday and linger into the weekend, looks like the moisture starts to dry up Wednesday afternoon, and no longer shows up for next weekend.
The following week looks like SE winds will be prevalent for the beginning of the week.
I hope things cool off a bit with the east winds, summer temperatures are hanging though at the moment.
Dave

Good morning , hope people are pleased that we finally got some rain last night. Today is going to be windy through the ...
28/10/2023

Good morning , hope people are pleased that we finally got some rain last night.
Today is going to be windy through the day, shiuld knock off by the end of the day, wind will be from the south east today and for most of the week, starting tonight winds will be in the 15 knt range for the rest of the week.
The swell will start to subside monday, will still be fairly high today and tomorrow.
With the high winds today whay rain we get should move through pretty fast , and will be light rain off end on till this evening.
Early sunday morning we will be in for another pulse of rain that should last off and on till noon or so.
Then monday afternòon until tuesday we are going to have rain off and on.
There are two different scenarios for next week, one the rain trails off tuesday, and one it doesnt, so i will wait to see which it will be.
But we are in for some more wind starting Thursday till the end of the weekend, and some rain coming at the end of the weekend with the next teopical wave that is to go by for a couple of days, its a long way away, so im sure there will be some adjustments , but that's the general out look for the next week

Good morning all A fairly wet weather pattern will start to setup in the early hours friday morning , showers off and on...
26/10/2023

Good morning all
A fairly wet weather pattern will start to setup in the early hours friday morning , showers off and on friday, then heavier rains through the weekend.
To continue into next week with a fair bit of rain all the way to the end of next thursday , how much rain , and where it rains is unpredictable but it looks to be pretty wet over the next week.
This weekends weather is Tammy as it starts to shift to the west, its going to bring itfs trailing edge moistue over us , and its going to mix with trough thay has drifted over us from the west, Nd a tropical wave about to arrive from the east.
Ground swell has been up with a fairly good pulse over the last couple of days , as Tammy dies slowly just north of us so will the swell, but its going to increase friday and Saturday before it starts to dissipate sunday, so high surf on north and east shores , extreem caution due to rip currents if your playing in the water.
May be a bit of a swell by ths end of next week also.
Winds will stay relatively calm well into next week, except for a bump while we get this first bit of weather tomorrow and Saturday . Friday night will from the east 18-20 knts , and Saturday night in the 15-17 range from the south east.
So bring the umbrellas out for the next week .
Have a greay weekend
Dave

Good morning allWell Tammy was pretty painless, as it passed by a couple of hr ago, the winds at the moment will probabl...
22/10/2023

Good morning all
Well Tammy was pretty painless, as it passed by a couple of hr ago, the winds at the moment will probably last for the rest of the week, the moisture if we get any will probably by later this afrer noon , and should get some light showers maybe tomorrow as the trailing edge of of the hurricane pulls through as this storm heads to the North west and in a 1/2 day turns North east , probably will bump up to a cat 2 by then.
So other than possibly some light showers between later today and mayɓe tomorrow we are about done with the relatively easy passing of hurricane
The rest of the qeek will be light winds, the odd shower, probably a swell for as long as Tammy stays above us, swell will be from the north .
By late friday there MIGHT be some unsettled weather for the weekend, i say might because the low might blow it self out before it gets here, as always will just see how develops.
Dave

Good afternoon, well seems things have gone off as predicted , and should stay that way as the hurricane passes by Antig...
21/10/2023

Good afternoon, well seems things have gone off as predicted , and should stay that way as the hurricane passes by Antigua , and st Marteen , over night and then heads out to sea.
They computers have pulled the forecasted track line back to the east a bit, with the help from real time telemetry from the hurricane hunters and real time radar all day today.
You can see in the current radar image that moisture is starting to fill in between leeward islands and us that will probably give us some rain tonight, winds are going to decrease for us as the storm goes by tonight and quite calm tomorrow.
There is allot of trailing moisture, models are showing the curve to the east not coming so far west, we may or may not get heavy rain tomorrow and Monday , the storm is forecasted to become a cat 2 hurricane but at the moment that is well past us tomorrow night , the mountainous regions of the windwards and Leewards Islands I think have hindered development, and as the hurricane heads into open warm water it has the ability to strengthen without land masses to disrupt it.
So again, minimal wind with some rain coming over the next 1-2 days perhaps heavy if a cell stalls on top of any particular region.
Hope we get enough rain to top up the cisterns
Dave

Good morning , first thing a Tropical storm watch is showing up over the BVI , you can see the little yellow highlight o...
21/10/2023

Good morning , first thing a Tropical storm watch is showing up over the BVI , you can see the little yellow highlight over us.
Normally with Hurricane passing us this close we would have a much more profound effect, but because this hurricanes NNW direction and the fact that we are being exposed to its weakest side, and it looks like this will stay in the high cat 1 at 90mph, we are having minimum impact from this.
Sooo not expecting any extreme hi winds, doesn’t mean we won’t get the odd band of the hurricane making it’s way here and giving us squally winds and rain for a bit, we got a bit last night around midnight in VG and eastern Tortola.
Breezy and the odd bits of moisture passing through today with potential stronger squalls is the expected weather.
The storm has sped up a bit and is moving at 9mph and the track line has been pulled west and puts the eye passing the west side of Antigua island, but the big change of direction tha was suppose to start the hurricane moving farther away is now not happening until much later , the now broad turn to northeast will happen north of us instead of east of us, this is now going to pull all the moisture that is south of Tammy over top of us as it moves away.
Also if the track lines keep being adjusted west, we may have some direct effect from Tammy with winds higher than we have been presently experiencing.
So at the moment the track is now predicting to pass the eye over the west of Antigua, but if that track shifts more west say for the eye to pass over st Marteen then that would increase the effect we would feel from the hurricane.
With the predicted recurve of the hurricane continuing to be moved west this possibility is still there for another day or so.
Also any increase in wind will create the ripple effect of increasing our weather felt here.
So forecasting at this moment has no major impact to the Virgin Islands , from this hurricane , but changes for the projected pass of the hurricane can increase or decrease , expected weather due to changes of proximity of Tammy to us.

Good evening  Hurricane Tammy has really slowed down 6-7mph so it’s now going to be around allot longer and this is goin...
20/10/2023

Good evening
Hurricane Tammy has really slowed down 6-7mph so it’s now going to be around allot longer and this is going to allow the wind field to expand, and the moisture to expand , so we may get some gusty squalls passing through tomorrow, also track lines are still not really defined and have spread a bit to the west as this storm exits the area, so Monday might be a bit wet as well because we are going to get a more south wind as this leaves and it’s going to pull the moisture behind the hurricane through but also moist air from South America, , also wind speeds are projected to get up into the high end cat 1 90mph before it goes by and that will also add to the expansion of this storm, there is also a front and a trough from the west that’s suppose to increase the water content over the next couple of days, and may have some trailing moisture Monday.
I still don’t think we will get much effect but NWS Purto Rico is calling for a little more active weather .
Dave

Good after noon, to all just to get it out there here is the info I had just after 8am this morning , first three pictur...
20/10/2023

Good after noon, to all just to get it out there here is the info I had just after 8am this morning , first three pictures confirming at around 8am Tammy was a hurricane, I also had heard on a very reliable podcast the same thing, I had already put my weather report together , this stuff came through as I was about to post so I open with the change to a hurricane.
Non of it really matters much because we are now past the 11am and nothing for us in the BVI has changed much.
At the moment the winds we have been feeling since late yesterday are subsiding and will continue to do so, and by this evening will come down even more to the 15-18 range, by tomorrow they will be less, if the track stays consistent with forecasting now, you can see that on wind guru it’s the second last picture.
Sorry to say at the present forecasting don’t see us getting very much rain either, today or tomorrow, if we do get some rain it would be this afternoon into the evening. May get the odd shower tomorrow, just because there is so much moisture in the air.
I will continue to monitor and if there are any big changes will let you know
Dave

Good morning to all, Tammy has been upgraded to a Hurricane, the now hurricane closed up its wind field about a 1/2 hr a...
20/10/2023

Good morning to all, Tammy has been upgraded to a Hurricane, the now hurricane closed up its wind field about a 1/2 hr ago , and that has increased the winds , and most of the scattered moisture has pulled around the storm Centre.
The eye formed slightly east of the track line about 100 miles east of Barbados, that put about 500 miles away at the moment.
This showed up on the 8am report hurricane hunters have been flying onto the storm all night, and there is one in there now.
Soooo probably will not see much change in the modeling other than wind speeds going up, the wind field may broaden out a bit west of the as it completes it circle, but at the moment it will tighten up as it pulls all the energy around it .
The May move around a bit so the track lines might shift around a bit .
Barbuda and Antigua are going to have some real stormy weather, if it keeps on track, st Marteen , will also get some strong wind and rain. They had some last night.
For us today, I think it will be fairly nice winds are suppose to be elevated to about noon and then subside, Tammy turning into a hurricane 12-18 earlier may affect how much wind we get tonight and tomorrow, so I’m going to wait until this afternoon to see how much intensification , and track projections will change if any for the Virgin Islands . So if there are any more major changes will post

Good morning to tropical storm Tammy, should stay that way for a bit, max winds are 60, but that’s in the NE quadrant wh...
19/10/2023

Good morning to tropical storm Tammy, should stay that way for a bit, max winds are 60, but that’s in the NE quadrant which if the storm follows the predicted path wil be hundreds of miles from us our winds will be coming from the NW and then West side of the storm as it approaches and then south west and south as it leaves
Modeling has this storm making a tight turn to the north east as it passes east or on top of Antigua, and the storm will be building as it approaches Antigua, they are expecting an eye wall replacement at this point and the tropical storm Tammy will become hurricane Tammy.
So the thing that effect us from the current path of the storm is the wind increasing or decreasing, in this case from yesterday’s prediction winds are going to be stronger by about 20mph if prediction stays on track, so we are going to feel more wind before the storm arrives level with use, and the winds should start to pick up this morning but will substantially pick up late this after noon and last until tomorrow after noon, this evening winds should be in the 20mph range, starting at 3-5pm today, and staying that way until tomorrow afternoon, I don’t know if they will be steady or gusty , there may be some stronger gusts.
As the eye of the storm passes our level the winds should actually start to decrease, and because it will pull to the east we shouldn’t get much trailing moisture, most of what heavy rain we get should be this afternoon and tonight starting from the south east then from the east.
As always this is if the track line stays relatively on the predicted course, any shift towards us changes the effect to us and makes it stronger weather we receive any movement away makes it less severe.
Hope this helps in your planing if you have any large awnings or patio umbrellas I would say wrap them up or fold them in, we may get the occasional high gust if we get a strong cell from this passing.
Dave

Good evening , well we made it what 3 hrs after I posted , we now have depression Tammy, they probably ran a hurricane h...
18/10/2023

Good evening , well we made it what 3 hrs after I posted , we now have depression Tammy, they probably ran a hurricane hunter through the storm and got on site observations, instead of just computers, sooooo it shifts the storm 50-80 miles west, 2 of the three wind apps still have the storm passing 80to 100 miles east of st Marteen, if it stays that way, we stay on the calm side, off the three wind apps the first one is Predict wind, I have stoped all the apps at there closest point to us as it passes to the east of us.
The second is windy it has the storm passing a little closer.
Then the last one is Zoom Earth and it has it passing with much weaker winds right over top of us, but still all the strong winds are still to the east.
So far the winds are at 40 mph ish.
It probably a building storm so winds should increase .
If the storm gets stronger it should stay well east of us, if it gets closer to us by Saturday we will have allot of wind sheer over us and it should keep the winds from building may take some of the wind away.
This storm as Philippe will be more of a water issue depending on how close it gets, the thunderstorms we get may have fairly gusty winds imbedded in them.

Predict wind has the most aggressive winds starting on late Thursday as a pre storm wind push for 24 hrs with the winds 20knts or so , then they relax a bit Friday 15knt range then getting stronger for the closest pass of the Saturday evening again winds in the 20knt range.
Windy , and Zoom earth have very little wind for the approaching storm , and a little bump as it passes.
Soooo like always we have 2-3 days and of course the the predicted track of the storm will be changing as it approaches, if the storm stays east of gets farther east it will be less of a storm for us.
If it gets closer the increase still will not be so bad.
Buuut if the storm path moves west of us this will increase the storm strength and rain significantly, that’s the scenario we don’t want.
The Second thing is if the winds increase past tropical storm force, say to a low cat 1, this will close the wind circulation and put us on the week side of the hurricane but there will strong winds and rain.
Now with all storms that pass us close by we will watch to anticipate
Have a nice evening .
Dave

Good morningSeems as with Philippe forecasting is split, between forming into a depression or more and pulling to north ...
18/10/2023

Good morning
Seems as with Philippe forecasting is split, between forming into a depression or more and pulling to north west enough to miss us, or staying disorganized possibly having some circulation but weakening it passes very close by us to the south or on us.
Because the low is so disorganized and spread over a fairly large area track lines are still pretty broad, so because this will pass fairly close either way, will have to watch it to make sure , at the moment winds are to remain low for the next day or so, at around 30knts, winds will increase to a tropical depression in one to 2 days, after that will depend on where the turn starts, and the direction it goes.
I have added two additional pictures at the end, these are the 2 potential track line models , and you can see the big differences one stays 150 miles or so east of the windwards, one brings it very close .
Will just have to watch this one.
Dave

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