15/10/2014
MARKET TALK
The market dropped further on Wednesday and pushed prices to the lowest since late 2010 as traders scrambled to keep up with the downward momentum.
Worries about oil supply exceeding demand in a slowing global economy sparked the rout that began after prices hit this year's high in mid-June.
Comments from core OPEC members, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iran, signaling that the group is unlikely to cut output to support oil markets have further depressed prices.
There is a very old and much-used cliche about standing under a falling knife which is exactly about this situation. You've got very strong selling going on and until the market begins to show some signs of losing momentum, it's safest to assume that the worst is yet to come.
A break below price support levels may have fuelled more selling overnight as investors cut losses or took on short positions in anticipation of lower prices. Wall Street banks have scrambled this week to neutralize their exposure to big oil options trades, adding to the downward spiral.
The International Energy Agency on Tuesday cut its demand growth forecast for oil in 2015 as global economies remain weak.And Iran has said that that it can live with lower oil prices after similar signs from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
A clear sort of signal coming in from statements of OPEC members is that they are not likely to be defending the oil price at around these levels.Shale oil output continued to rise in the United States with production set to grow by some 106,000 barrels per day in November from this month, projections from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed on Tuesday.
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories were forecast to have increased in the week ended Oct. 10, while refined products likely fell, according to a poll of analysts.
Industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) will issued its report later on Wednesday, and the EIA will follow with its weekly data on Thursday. The reports have been delayed a day due to the Monday's Columbus Day U.S. federal holiday.
